Overview
- USD/JPY pushed through 153 in early European trade after Sanae Takaichi’s LDP victory drove bets on bigger spending and a slower BOJ tightening path.
- The yen has dropped more than 3% this week, marking its worst weekly performance since September 2024, after briefly touching an eight-month low near 153 per dollar.
- Euro softness deepened following the resignation of French Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu, with the currency near $1.16 as the Élysée signals a new premier within 48 hours.
- Fed September minutes flagged persistent inflation concerns alongside rising job-market risks, and markets still price roughly 44 basis points of U.S. rate cuts by December.
- A prolonged U.S. government shutdown is delaying key economic releases, raising the risk the Fed meets with limited fresh data, while USD/JPY’s breakout above 150 leaves technicians watching resistance near 155.