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Dogecoin Rejected at $0.14 Pivot With Downside Risks Building

Fragile liquidity after last year's ETF-driven pullback makes a sustained push above the $0.14 EMA the key test.

Overview

  • DOGE slipped from a session high near $0.142 to about $0.137 after failing to hold above $0.14, keeping pressure on short-term support at $0.13–$0.12.
  • Short-term gauges show fading momentum with the 7-day SMA turning lower and RSI near neutral, while the EMA 50 sits around $0.14 and the EMA 20 near $0.13.
  • Trading activity has cooled markedly, with reports showing volume down roughly 43%–50%, signaling limited buyer follow-through.
  • Derivatives participation remains far below the mid-2025 ETF peak as open interest that neared $6B then fell to roughly $1.2–$1.8B, creating a thinner liquidity backdrop.
  • A recent snapshot showed open interest edging up about 1.7% to $1.8B even as volume dropped, and analysts say sustained strength above the 50-day average could open upside targets at $0.153 to $0.28.