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Disorganized Gulf Disturbance Brings Flood Watches to Louisiana and Eastern Texas

Invest 93L’s 30% development odds belie its threat to unleash up to 10 inches of rain over already saturated ground, sending flood watches across southern Louisiana into eastern Texas.

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Fog covers the downtown skyline of San Francisco, Wednesday, July 16, 2025.

Overview

  • The broad area of low pressure in the northern Gulf remains disorganized, with the National Hurricane Center assigning just a 30% chance of tropical development over the next seven days.
  • Flood watches are in effect through Friday night as forecast models call for 4–6 inches of rain in southern Louisiana—locally as much as 8–10 inches—and 1–3 inches in eastern Greater Houston.
  • Southern Louisiana sits under a level 3 of 4 risk for flash flooding, while the Houston metro area faces a level 1 risk, with heavy downpours likely to cause localized street and urban flooding.
  • Gov. Greg Abbott has activated Texas state emergency resources, and local authorities have begun distributing sandbags and issuing flood watches in flood-prone communities.
  • The disturbance is expected to turn northward into Louisiana by Saturday and weaken to scattered showers as it moves inland and loses its tropical moisture source.