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Dimon Says Europe Has Lost Economic Edge and Fed Rate Hikes Are Underestimated

He warned investors are complacent about further Federal Reserve tightening, estimating a roughly 50 percent chance of additional rate hikes.

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Jamie Dimon, chief executive officer of JPMorgan Chase & Co., speaks during an event in Dublin, Ireland, on Thursday, July 10, 2025.
Jamie Dimon, chairman and CEO of JPMorgan Chase & Co, peaks to the Economic Club of New York in New York City, U.S., April 23, 2024. REUTERS/Mike Segar/File Photo
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Overview

  • Speaking in Dublin, JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon flagged that Europe’s GDP share has slipped from 90 percent to 65 percent of the U.S. over the past decade and a half.
  • He blamed regulatory fragmentation and lagging innovation for hampering the EU’s ability to compete on a global scale.
  • Dimon called on EU leaders to complete and deepen the single internal market to boost economies of scale and foster innovation.
  • He urged the swift establishment of a U.S.-EU tariff framework to shield export-oriented economies from escalating trade barriers.
  • Dimon cautioned that markets are pricing only a 20 percent chance of further U.S. rate hikes when he puts the odds at 40–50 percent, warning of investor complacency on monetary policy risks.