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Diageo Faces $200M Profit Hit as Trump Tariffs Threaten Key Brands

The spirits giant withdraws sales growth targets, citing geopolitical uncertainty and potential U.S. tariffs on Mexican tequila and Canadian whisky.

A sign that reads ''Buy Canadian Instead'' is displayed on top of bottles, hanging above another sign that reads "American Whiskey", after the top five U.S. liquor brands were removed from sale at a B.C. Liquor Store, as part of a response to U.S. President Donald Trump's 25% tariffs on Canadian goods, in Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada, February 2, 2025. REUTERS/Chris Helgren/File Photo
A liquor store worker places a bottle of Diageo's Crown Royal whiskey on a shelf in Los Angeles, California, U.S., December 4, 2024. REUTERS/Daniel Cole/File Photo
Diageo makes Don Julio tequila and Crown Royal whisky.
Johnnie Walker bottles are displayed on a shelf in a supermarket in Sarajevo, Bosnia and Herzegovina, October 29, 2024. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/File Photo

Overview

  • Diageo estimates a potential $200 million impact on operating profits if U.S. tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada are implemented in March.
  • The company has scrapped its medium-term sales growth target of 5-7%, citing macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainty, including tariff threats.
  • Tequila brands like Don Julio and Casamigos, along with Canadian whisky Crown Royal, are most at risk due to their geographic production requirements.
  • Diageo plans to mitigate the tariff impact through pricing strategies, supply chain adjustments, and inventory management while engaging with the U.S. government.
  • Despite challenges, Guinness remains a strong performer, delivering double-digit growth for the eighth consecutive half-year.