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Deutsche Bank Warns on Dollar as Europe’s U.S. Asset Leverage Enters the Fray Over Greenland Tariffs

Analysts see large forced sales as unlikely given private ownership that would inflict self-harm.

Overview

  • US Treasury data show EU-based investors hold over $10 trillion in U.S. securities, with additional holdings in the UK and Norway, giving Europe theoretical financial leverage.
  • Deutsche Bank’s George Saravelos says the potential “weaponisation of capital” poses a bigger market risk than trade measures because the U.S. relies on foreign financing.
  • Markets reflect rising concern: the dollar and U.S. equity futures weakened while gold, the Swiss franc and the euro strengthened, with the euro rebounding from a six‑week low.
  • The EU’s tangible steps focus on trade, including a proposal to halt approval of its July deal with Washington and discussions on tariffs covering €93 billion of U.S. goods.
  • Strategists from Societe Generale, Rabobank and ING emphasize that most U.S. assets in Europe are held by private investors, limiting government control and making forced selling improbable despite public-sector holders like Norway’s sovereign wealth fund.