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Merz Faces Intensifying Party Pressure After Regional Election Losses

Rising AfD strength and growing CDU‑SPD conflicts over pensions, health and taxes put the government's reform program and the chancellor's standing at risk in the coming state votes.

Overview

  • The CDU suffered heavy setbacks in recent regional votes with Sunday’s local results in Lower Saxony showing the party at 27.2 percent and the AfD surging to 15.9 percent, reinforcing voters’ drift to the right.
  • Pressure on Chancellor Friedrich Merz has grown inside the CDU as some senior figures publicly back him while others demand a change of course in Berlin rather than an immediate personnel swap.
  • Unionsfraktionschef Thorsten Frei described the party’s results as “grottenschlecht” and urged that the government press ahead quickly with promised reforms to restore voter trust.
  • Coalition friction with the SPD has sharpened over details of pension and health reforms, and SPD leader Manuela Schwesig has publicly attacked Merz over high fuel prices while calling for a price cap and a windfall tax on oil firms.
  • The next state elections in Mecklenburg‑Vorpommern and Berlin are widely seen as potential turning points that could increase leadership pressure, complicate passage of fiscal reforms, and change the political landscape if AfD gains persist.