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Depression Four-E Forms Near Southwestern Mexico, Expected to Become Tropical Storm Dalila

A tropical storm watch spans Guerrero, Michoacán, Colima as forecasters warn of heavy rain, flooding, life-threatening surf ahead of Dalila’s westward turn into the Pacific.

This map from the NHC shows the predicted path for Potential Tropical Cyclone Four-E, which is soon expected to strengthen into Tropical Storm Dalila.
A map from the National Hurricane Center shows possible rainfall amounts in Mexico this weekend.
Satellite image of Tropical Storm Dalila. Credit Goes-19, RAMMB/CIRA, The Watchers. Acquired at 15:40 UTC on June 13, 2025.

Overview

  • Tropical Depression Four-E formed Friday south of southern Mexico and is expected to strengthen into Tropical Storm Dalila within 24 hours.
  • The National Hurricane Center has issued a tropical storm watch for the coast of southwestern Mexico, including the states of Guerrero, Michoacán, Colima.
  • Most forecast models show Dalila tracking parallel to the coast before veering west into the Pacific without reaching hurricane strength.
  • Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches with localized amounts up to 6 inches may trigger flooding and mudslides in coastal and mountainous areas.
  • NOAA predicts a below-normal season with 12 to 18 named storms while AccuWeather forecasts 14 to 18 storms and up to 10 hurricanes.