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Denmark Cuts 2025 Growth Outlook to 1.4% on Novo Nordisk Slowdown

Officials point to a slump in U.S.-bound drug shipments from Novo Nordisk.

Overview

  • Export growth is now projected at 0.9% in 2025, down from a May forecast of 4.3%, after an early‑2025 drop that followed a late‑2024 inventory surge.
  • The economy ministry cites inventory normalization, tougher GLP‑1 competition, generic medicines and U.S. tariffs as the main drags on pharma exports.
  • Despite the downgrade, the ministry says employment remains high and inflation is expected to stay below 2% on an annual basis.
  • The 2026 GDP forecast has been raised to 2.1% on expectations for stronger private and public consumption.
  • Economy Minister Stephanie Lose is set to present the revised outlook at a press conference in Copenhagen.