Overview

• Republicans hold a slim 219-212 majority in the House, putting each competitive district under intense scrutiny.
• The DCCC has zeroed in on seats held by Scott Perry, Ryan Mackenzie, Rob Bresnahan and Brian Fitzpatrick as the key to regaining the majority.
• Josh Shapiro carried all four districts by double digits in 2022, and his anticipated 2026 reelection bid is expected to boost down-ballot Democrats.
• A CNN poll found 72% of Democratic-aligned voters are highly motivated for the midterms, compared with 50% of Republicans.
• Democratic strategists are preparing redistricting countermeasures to challenge Republican-drawn maps ahead of the 2026 elections.