Overview
- National polls show Democrats ahead by roughly 9 to 11 points on the generic congressional ballot, a gap that forecasters say is large enough to move many competitive races toward the Democrats.
- Fox News’ latest Power Rankings shifted 19 House seats toward Democrats and moved Ohio, South Carolina, and Mississippi closer to Democrats, leaving the Senate a narrow toss‑up with a small number of flips decisive.
- Republican leaders including Speaker Mike Johnson and Sen. John Thune have publicly disputed the polls, citing recent revelations that some surveys from a firm called Wedgewood were fabricated and arguing that partisan nonresponse may undercount GOP voters.
- GOP strategists warn of a “Red Scream” — conservative frustration that could depress turnout — even as party committees and outside groups reallocate late ad buys and ground resources to defend vulnerable incumbents.
- With six days to go until Election Day, the likely House flip would give Democrats subpoena power and broad oversight, while control of the Senate could hinge on a handful of Trump‑won states such as Ohio, Kansas, Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Texas, Mississippi, and South Carolina.