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Democrats Struggle With Record-Low Favorability Despite Local Election Wins

Recent polling highlights deep dissatisfaction with the Democratic Party, but strategists point to key victories in Omaha, Wisconsin, and Iowa as signs of resilience.

Senator Chuck Schumer, a New York Democrat, speaks at the U.S. Capitol in Washington, D.C. on May 13, 2025.
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Overview

  • An AP-NORC poll shows the Democratic Party's favorability has dropped to 36%, a 12-point decline since September 2024, while Republican favorability rose to 41%.
  • Only one-third of Democrats report optimism about their party's future, with 36% expressing pessimism, reflecting internal morale challenges.
  • James Carville emphasizes recent Democratic successes, including flipping districts in Iowa and defeating a 12-year Republican incumbent in Omaha, as evidence of electoral strength.
  • Carville predicts a Democratic victory in the upcoming Virginia gubernatorial race, framing it as another potential sign of momentum.
  • Commentators like Chris Cillizza warn that the Democratic brand is widely perceived as 'weak' and 'ineffective,' posing significant hurdles for the party's broader strategy.