Democrats Show Strength in Special Elections Ahead of 2024

Despite polling data suggesting a tight race between Biden and Trump, special election results indicate a potential advantage for Democrats.

Recent special elections have consistently shown Democrats outperforming historical benchmarks and polls.
Polls show a tight race for the 2024 Presidential election, with Trump and Biden either tied or Trump slightly ahead.
Democrats have demonstrated a turnout advantage in off-year elections, contributing to their success.
Special election results are seen as hard facts, offering insight into the energized base of the Democratic party.
Analysts caution against over-reliance on special election results due to differences in the electorate compared to general elections.