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Democrats Open 14-Point Generic Ballot Lead as Trump Slumps to 39% in New Marist Poll

Voter focus on prices, paired with Trump's 39% approval, underpins the shift.

Overview

  • An NPR/PBS/Marist survey conducted Nov. 10–13 shows Democrats leading Republicans 55%–41% on the generic congressional ballot, the poll’s widest Democratic edge since 2017, with independents favoring Democrats by roughly two to one.
  • Trump’s job approval registers at 39% in the Marist polling, the lowest of his second term there, with only 24% of independents approving.
  • Lowering prices is the public’s clear priority, with 57% saying it should top the White House agenda, far outpacing immigration and other issues.
  • Roughly six in ten respondents in the Marist survey assign blame for the 43-day shutdown to Trump or congressional Republicans, and only about one in five express confidence in Congress.
  • A separate national Marquette Law School poll finds a narrower Democratic advantage (49%–44%) and strong disapproval of Trump’s shutdown handling, as analysts caution that redistricting and turnout dynamics could temper any seat gains.