Overview
- Voters are deciding New York City’s mayoral race, gubernatorial contests in New Jersey and Virginia, and California’s Proposition 50 on Tuesday.
- Polling shows Democrats leading across the board, with Abigail Spanberger up by roughly nine points in Virginia and Mikie Sherrill a few points ahead of Jack Ciataretti in New Jersey.
- Surveys predict a clear win for Proposition 50, which would authorize Governor Gavin Newsom to restructure California’s congressional districts to try to secure more Democratic U.S. House seats next year.
- Newsom casts Proposition 50 as a direct counter to Texas Governor Greg Abbott’s redistricting plan that analysts say created five additional Republican seats for 2026.
- The contests are framed as referenda on President Trump’s politics, with Democrats showcasing a wide ideological range from Spanberger to New York mayoral candidate Zohran Mamdani as Barack Obama boosts campaign visibility.