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Democrats Hold Edge With a Week to Midterms, Senate Control Still Unclear

Polls show Democrats likely to flip the House because rising living costs and the Iran war have weakened President Trump's standing and a handful of tight statewide contests could decide the Senate.

Overview

  • Aggregated national polls give Democrats a clear lead and place them in position to win the House with one week remaining before Election Day, according to multiple poll trackers.
  • President Trump's approval ratings are at near‑record lows, a factor that campaign analysts say is depressing Republican prospects and mobilizing Democratic turnout.
  • Voter concern over higher everyday costs and the war with Iran is driving choices at the ballot box and shaping Democratic messages focused on economic relief and limits on war powers.
  • Several Senate races remain razor‑close in states such as Texas, Michigan, Alaska and Ohio, and high‑profile surrogates including Barack Obama have increased late campaigning and endorsements to sway those contests.
  • More than 40 million Americans have already voted early and recent Department of Justice subpoenas and election lawsuits have raised the risk that very close outcomes will trigger post‑election legal battles that could delay certification.