Democrats Face Uphill Battle in 2024 Senate Races

Republicans Eye Multiple-Seat Senate Majority Amid Vulnerable Democrat Seats

Democrats are defending seven of the top 10 Senate seats most likely to flip in 2024, with the most vulnerable being West Virginia, Ohio, and Montana.
Democratic Sen. Joe Manchin's decision not to run for reelection in West Virginia has made the seat almost certain to flip to Republicans.
Democrats' path to retaining control of the Senate could involve defending all their remaining seats and retaining the presidency, or flipping either Florida or Texas.
Republicans have a prime opportunity to gain a multiple-seat Senate majority by defending their seats in Texas and Florida and targeting vulnerable Democrat seats.
Republicans' strategy involves a multi-tiered plan, with the first tier being to defend Florida and Texas, and the second tier being to target vulnerable Democrat seats in West Virginia, Ohio, and Montana.