Overview

• The Democratic Party's favorability has plummeted to a record low of 29%, with significant losses among young, Hispanic, and working-class voters.
• Young voters, especially men, are increasingly aligning with conservative ideologies, marking a dramatic generational shift away from the party.
• Key Senate retirements in swing states like New Hampshire and Michigan, coupled with unfavorable electoral maps, jeopardize Democrats' 2026 midterm prospects.
• Internal divisions between progressive and moderate factions, alongside aging leadership, have hindered the party's ability to unify messaging or present a clear national leader.
• Population shifts from blue to red states are projected to cost Democrats House seats and Electoral College votes by the 2030 census, further compounding their structural disadvantages.