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DeepMind AI Cyclone Model Enters National Hurricane Center’s Operational Workflow

Its 15-day tropical cyclone forecasts aim to strengthen early warnings by providing real-time AI-generated predictions during the 2025 season

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Overview

  • The U.S. National Hurricane Center has begun using DeepMind’s experimental AI model alongside traditional physics-based systems in its operational forecasting workflow.
  • The model generates up to 50 scenarios predicting cyclone formation, track, intensity, size, and shape as far as fifteen days in advance.
  • In internal tests, its five-day track predictions averaged 140 kilometers closer to actual storm locations than ECMWF’s leading ensemble and it outperformed NOAA’s HAFS on intensity forecasts.
  • Google launched Weather Lab in public preview to display live and historical AI and physics-based cyclone predictions for expert evaluation.
  • Trained on global reanalysis data and a specialized database of 5,000 observed cyclones, the system remains a research tool rather than an official source of warnings.