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Deep 2026 Draft Puts Unusual Weight on Sunday’s NBA Lottery

Proposed lottery changes set for a vote this month are already shaping how teams value this year’s picks.

Overview

  • The lottery arrives Sunday under current rules for a class many evaluators call unusually deep, with no clear No. 1 choice.
  • Experts most often slot AJ Dybantsa, Darryn Peterson, Cameron Boozer and Caleb Wilson at the top, though teams could order them differently based on needs and risk.
  • Oklahoma City, holding the Clippers’ first-rounder, has a 1.5% chance to draw No. 1, creating a slim path for the defending champs to add a blue-chip rookie.
  • Indiana has a 52% chance to land a top-four pick after a 19-win season without Tyrese Haliburton, and evaluators see Boozer as a strong fit if it lands at No. 2.
  • Atlanta benefits from last year’s trade with New Orleans and access to Milwaukee’s pick, giving the Hawks a 9.8% shot at No. 1 and 43.2% odds of a top-four slot.