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Deadly U.S. Floods Expose Outdated Data and Infrastructure Gaps

ClimaMeter finds human-driven warming amplified recent deluges beyond natural variability, highlighting the growing severity of extreme rainfall events.

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A barricade blocks a road during heavy rains, Sunday, July 13, 2025, in Kerrville, Texas.
Data: NCEI; Map: Erin Davis/Axios Visuals
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Overview

  • Search operations continue in Texas for more than 100 people missing after what officials called a “once-in-century flood” that claimed at least 134 lives.
  • Initial ClimaMeter analysis attributes recent record rainfall magnitudes primarily to human-driven warming, ruling out natural variability alone.
  • Federal agencies are overhauling flood-risk models, with NOAA updating its systems and the Commerce Department indefinitely suspending final work on its near-complete Atlas 15 project.
  • Since 1970, 88% of 144 U.S. cities have reported rising hourly rainfall intensity, with recent storms dumping 20–40% more water than mid-20th-century baselines.
  • Aging storm-water infrastructure, such as New York City’s century-old sewers rated for 1.75 inches of rain per hour, is overwhelmed by modern precipitation extremes.