Overview
- UNEP’s Emissions Gap report projects end‑century warming of roughly 2.3–2.5°C and warns a likely, hard‑to‑reverse overshoot of 1.5°C without unprecedented cuts.
- Global greenhouse gases climbed to 57.7 gigatonnes CO2e in 2024, up 2.3% year over year, with G20 emissions increasing about 0.7%.
- UNFCCC analysis indicates current national plans could yield the first UN‑projected global decline by 2035—about 10% below 1990 levels—yet far short of 1.5°C pathways.
- Only 60 Parties, representing about 63% of global emissions, submitted 2035 NDCs by the deadline, underscoring large gaps in ambition, finance and implementation as COP30 runs 10–21 November in Belém.
- EU environment ministers stalled on a 2040 objective—many backing a 90% cut but split over offsets and flexibility—while Brazil’s Lula called COP30 a “COP of the truth” and proposed a global environment council to monitor commitments.