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DAX Ends 2025 Near Record as Year Closes With Thin Trade

Valuation gains outpaced earnings growth, leaving investors focused on forthcoming Fed minutes.

Overview

  • The DAX logged roughly a 22% gain for 2025 and closed Monday at 24,351, with subdued moves into a shortened final session.
  • Market commentary highlights multiple expansion as the primary driver of the rally, with some analysis estimating the index may be up to about 20% overvalued and earnings forecasts for 2025 still muted.
  • Wall Street slipped on profit-taking in tech and materials, and traders are looking to the latest Federal Reserve minutes for signals on the pace of future rate cuts.
  • Artificial-intelligence optimism remains a key theme, with Nvidia securing a non-exclusive product license from Groq and taking on some staff after a separate CNBC report had speculated about an acquisition.
  • Gold set a new record above $4,500 an ounce over the holidays before pulling back, with central-bank buying cited as a key support even as mining shares retreated.