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David Cameron Says Alberta Referendum Is Not Like Brexit

His remarks underscore diplomatic sensitivity as polls show most Albertans plan to stay and provincial analysis warns separation would bring steep economic losses and heavy start-up costs.

Overview

  • David Cameron told an energy conference Monday, Sept. 28, that Alberta’s Oct. 19 vote is not comparable to Brexit and he declined to endorse either side.
  • A recent Ipsos poll reported by Global News finds a plurality or majority of Albertans plan to vote to remain in Canada in the upcoming referendum.
  • A University of Calgary School of Public Policy study commissioned by the province projects Alberta’s GDP could fall by more than 16 percent, typical worker wages could drop by up to $12,000 a year, and state‑building costs might run roughly $50 billion to $170 billion in the first five years.
  • Secessionist strategists are urging even opponents to vote to start a binding‑referendum process as leverage for Premier Danielle Smith with Ottawa while critics including Prime Minister Carney call the tactic a risky or 'dangerous bluff.'
  • The Oct. 19 ballot asks whether Alberta should remain in Canada or begin the legal process toward a binding vote on leaving Confederation, a decision that would prolong debate, create economic and political uncertainty, and could reshape provincial party dynamics.