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David Cameron Says Alberta Referendum Is Not a Brexit Equivalent

His warning that referendums are unpredictable arrives as new Ipsos polling shows most Albertans plan to remain in Canada.

Overview

  • David Cameron, who spoke Monday at an energy leadership conference in Calgary, largely avoided taking a side but argued the Alberta vote is not comparable to the 2016 Brexit referendum.
  • He said Alberta’s question is about the future of a country rather than membership in a trade bloc and cited the 2014 Scottish referendum when warning that referendums are unpredictable.
  • Cameron told the audience he was “very nervous” about referendums and said “you can’t guarantee what the results are going to be,” reflecting his Brexit-era experience.
  • New polling from Ipsos for Global News shows a majority of Albertans plan to vote to remain in Canada, though coverage notes the polling has limited scope.
  • The remarks and polling keep attention on an October 2026 referendum that has drawn international commentary and media analysis of the possible political and economic consequences.