Overview
- An Ifop‑Fiducial poll for Le Figaro and Sud Radio places Rachida Dati at 26–28% in first‑round voting intentions, with Pierre‑Yves Bournazel at 14–15%.
- Emmanuel Macron’s Renaissance is backing Horizons candidate Pierre‑Yves Bournazel, and Gabriel Attal has offered support, sharpening an intra‑right contest with LR’s Dati.
- On the left, PS deputy Emmanuel Grégoire leads his camp with 20–22% depending on alliances, ahead of Green candidate David Belliard and LFI’s Sophia Chikirou.
- In a polled runoff scenario with a three‑way contest, a united left led by Grégoire would score 42% against 39% for Dati.
- Parties are concentrating efforts in Paris’s less‑favored arrondissements, where a majority of residents live under the new city‑wide electoral system.