Datafolha Shows Small Uptick in Lula Approval but Majority Still Disapprove

Overview

• The latest Datafolha survey reports 47% approval, 50% disapproval and 3% undecided for President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva.
• The result marks a two-point rise in approval from the previous round, which recorded 45% approval and 51% disapproval, a change that falls inside the poll's ±2-point uncertainty.
• Datafolha conducted 2,002 in-person interviews with a 95% confidence level, and the poll was commissioned by Folha de S. Paulo and TV Globo, registered at the TSE under BR-01833/2026 and paid R$307,600.
• Broader measures of performance were steady with 42% rating the government bad or very bad, 32% good or very good, and 25% regular, showing little short-term movement in public evaluation.
• The survey also included vote intentions showing Lula at 46% and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro at 44% in a hypothetical second round and 39% to 35% for Lula and Bolsonaro respectively in a projected first round, indicating a tight electoral picture.