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Datafolha Shows 50‑50 Runoff as Lula’s Live Draws Massive Audience

A tied poll published Thursday has sharpened the Oct. 25 contest and prompted voluntary publication of banking, fiscal and phone records under TSE rules to increase transparency.

Overview

  • Datafolha’s poll, released Thursday, put Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro tied at 50% of valid votes, narrowing the race three days before the Oct. 25 runoff.
  • Lula joined a high‑reach live with deputy André Janones that drew more than a million viewers and the campaign used the broadcast to mobilize supporters and press for stronger platform oversight of Meta.
  • TSE vice‑president André Mendonça ruled candidates may voluntarily disclose their own banking, fiscal and phone sigilos and said such disclosures do not replace formal investigations.
  • Following Mendonça’s ruling, the two campaigns agreed to open those records and Lula filed a petition asking the TSE to mediate the process to ensure faithful, comparable publication.
  • Institutional moves continued elsewhere: the PGR rejected Lulinha’s request to probe leaks tied to ongoing inquests, and Flávio canceled his scheduled Thursday live while keeping street mobilizations active.