Overview
- Datafolha’s nationally registered survey of 2,004 people in 139 municipalities, conducted June 17–18, 2026, finds 44% of respondents placed on the right or center‑right and 39% on the left or center‑left, a five‑point gap that exceeds the poll’s ±2 point margin of error for the full sample.
- The movement toward the right is concentrated on the behavioral axis, where right positions rose to 52% versus 29% for the left, driven by increased support for legal gun ownership, a jump in attributing poverty to "laziness," stronger backing for trying adolescent offenders as adults, and a decline in societal acceptance of homosexuality.
- Economic questions remain more left‑leaning with 46% on the economic left and 28% on the economic right, but responses are mixed: many favor less dependence on government and lower taxes while a large majority still wants the state to lead investment and growth.
- The shift is uneven across groups: men and evangelicals show the largest rightward identification, women remain more likely to be left‑identified, and Catholics are roughly tied, with subgroup margins larger than the full‑sample error.
- Datafolha’s index is built from 16 questions combining behavioral and economic items rather than a single self‑label; that methodology and wider margins in subgroup slices mean the result measures attitudes not direct vote intention and requires cautious interpretation for political forecasting.