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Data Analysis Links Germany’s Drone Surge to Cargo Ship Routes With Trail Toward Russia

Officials have not assigned responsibility, with internal BKA reports citing recurring patterns near coastal military sites.

Overview

  • German outlets WELT and BILD, working with the Axel Springer Academy, analyzed internal BKA data covering roughly 2,000 overflights this year.
  • The investigation reports correlations between many incidents and the routes of three cargo ships operating in the North and Baltic Seas.
  • The ships named in the reporting are the Russian freighter Lauga and the vessels HAV Snapper and HAV Dolphin.
  • European intelligence services are cited by BILD as assessing the ships were likely operating on Russia’s behalf, though formal attribution remains unconfirmed.
  • BKA reports note frequent evening sightings, repeat overflights and swarms, and hotspots near military facilities in Lower Saxony and Schleswig-Holstein, as federal authorities continue their inquiries.