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D66 Projected to Edge Wilders as Jetten Claims Narrow Win in Dutch Vote

Coalition negotiations now move to the formal Dutch formation process expected to take months.

Overview

  • ANP projections put Rob Jetten about 15,155 votes ahead of Geert Wilders, with both D66 and the PVV provisionally on 26 seats.
  • One domestic constituency and overseas postal ballots remain to be counted, with expat results not expected before Monday night and official certification due next Friday.
  • Parliament convenes Tuesday to appoint an éclaireur to test coalition options, the first step before naming an informateur and formateur.
  • As the largest party, D66 would lead efforts to reach 76 seats, with a floated combination of D66 (26), VVD (22), CDA (18) and Greens/Labour (20) complicated by tensions between VVD and the left alliance.
  • The right-wing map recalibrated as PVV slipped from its 2023 peak while Forum for Democracy rose to seven seats and JA21 to nine in the provisional count.