Overview
- An Ipsos-based projection puts D66 at about 27 seats and Geert Wilders’ PVV at roughly 25, a drop of around 12 seats for PVV compared with 2023; VVD is projected near 23 and GroenLinks/PvdA about 20.
- Early tallies and broadcasters’ updates indicate the D66 lead is holding, though final certified results are still pending.
- Frans Timmermans announced he will step down as leader of GroenLinks/PvdA after the alliance underperformed the 2023 result.
- Major parties reiterated they will not govern with PVV, making Wilders unlikely to join any coalition even as his party remains a major force.
- Lengthy coalition talks are expected under the Netherlands’ proportional system, after Wilders collapsed the previous four-party government in June over a dispute on stricter asylum rules.