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D66 Leads Dutch Snap Election in Ipsos Exit Poll

The first projection suggests no party will reach a majority, setting up arduous coalition talks.

Overview

  • An Ipsos exit poll for NOS and RTL shows D66 at 27 seats, PVV at 25, and VVD at 23, with a two-seat margin of error.
  • The left alliance GroenLinks–Labour is projected at 20 seats and the Christian Democratic Appeal at 19, indicating a fragmented chamber.
  • Compared with 2023 results, the exit poll points to major gains for D66 and losses for PVV, though final counts could shift seat totals.
  • Voting ran from 07:30 to 21:00 across more than 9,000 polling stations, including mobile sites at 50 rail hubs, with a record 135,000–136,000 overseas postal registrations.
  • The snap vote followed PVV’s June walkout from government and later cabinet resignations over Israel–Gaza policy, and official results are due the day after the vote.