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2h ago

D66 Edges Wilders in Dutch Exit Polls, Triggering Complex Coalition Hunt

With most parties rejecting a pact with PVV, Rob Jetten emerges as the leading contender to try to assemble a centrist majority.

Carteles de campaña de cara a las eleccionesen Países Bajos.
De izquierda a derecha, los candidatos a las elecciones parlamentarias de Países Bajos Frans Timmermans (GroenLinks-PvdA), Eddy van Hijum (NSC), Rob Jetten (D66), Geert Wilders (PVV), Dilan Yesilgoz (VVD) y Henri Bontenbal (CDA), durante un debate televisivo el pasado sábado.
Varias personas disfrutan del clima otoñal junto a carteles electorales de 26 de los 27 partidos que participan en los comicios generales, en La Haya, Holanda, el 22 de octubre de 2025. (AP Foto/Peter Dejong)

Overview

  • An Ipsos exit poll projects D66 on about 27 seats to PVV’s 25, with VVD near 23 and the GroenLinks–PvdA alliance around 20 in the 150-seat chamber.
  • No party approaches an outright majority, and veteran observers expect protracted bargaining that could require four or five parties to govern.
  • Frans Timmermans announced he would step down as leader after his alliance underperformed, reshaping the center-left’s role in talks.
  • Geert Wilders acknowledged losses after his party led in 2023, yet he remains a significant force even as most rivals uphold a cordon sanitaire against partnering with PVV.
  • The early vote followed the June collapse of the PVV-backed government and was fought over immigration and a severe housing shortage, with 13.4 million eligible to cast ballots.