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3h ago

D66 Edges PVV in Dutch Exit Polls, Positioning Rob Jetten to Lead Talks

Exit polls suggest lengthy coalition bargaining after mainstream parties ruled out working with Geert Wilders’ PVV.

Democrats 66 (D66) party leader Rob Jetten reacts following casting his vote during the Dutch parliamentary election, in The Hague, Netherlands, October 29, 2025. REUTERS/Piroschka van de Wouw
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Democrats 66 (D66) party leader Rob Jetten gestures while addressing supporters following the exit poll and early results in the Dutch parliamentary elections in Leiden, Netherlands, October 29, 2025. REUTERS/Piroschka van de Wouw

Overview

  • An IPSOS exit poll projects D66 at about 27 seats and PVV at roughly 25, with a one to two seat margin of error and no party near the 76-seat majority.
  • The exit poll, based on around 80,000 voters at 65 polling stations, is a strong indicator but official results are still pending.
  • Rob Jetten’s projected first-place finish would give him the first chance to assemble a coalition, and he could become the country’s youngest and first openly gay prime minister if he succeeds.
  • Frans Timmermans announced his resignation as GL/PvdA leader after the alliance was projected at 20 seats, trailing D66, PVV and the VVD.
  • The snap vote followed PVV’s June withdrawal from government, with migration, a severe housing shortage and rising healthcare costs dominating the campaign.