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D66 Edges Ahead in Dutch Exit Polls, Wilders Falls to Second

Most parties have ruled out working with Geert Wilders, foreshadowing protracted coalition bargaining.

Overview

  • Early exit polls put Rob Jetten’s D66 at 27 seats, with Geert WildersPVV on 25, VVD at 23, GL‑PvdA at 20 and CDA at 19 in the 150‑seat lower house.
  • No party approaches the 76-seat majority threshold, underscoring an exceptionally fragmented parliament that will require a multi-party coalition.
  • Major parties have already said they will not govern with Wilders, leaving the PVV politically isolated despite a likely second-place finish.
  • Frans Timmermans said he will step down as leader of the GL‑PvdA alliance after the bloc underperformed versus expectations.
  • Official results will follow once counting is completed, including a record number of overseas mail ballots, and if projections hold Jetten would be positioned to lead coalition talks.