Overview

• Polling suggests ANO will finish first with roughly 30% in the Oct. 3–4 vote, leaving Andrej Babiš seeking partners for a minority government or coalition.
• Babiš pledges higher pensions and wages, lower energy prices and taxes, and says he would end the Czech-led drive to source artillery shells for Ukraine.
• He rejects EU or NATO exit steps yet may need backing from the far‑right SPD, the far‑left Stačilo! or the Motorists, with mainstream Spolu parties signaling resistance before the vote.
• President Petr Pavel has indicated he would resist an administration that departs from core EU and NATO commitments, adding a check on post‑election bargaining.
• Babiš faces a retrial over alleged EU subsidy fraud and unresolved Agrofert conflict‑of‑interest rules that could trigger EU action, as researchers flag a TikTok network amplifying pro‑Russian narratives during the campaign.