Overview

• The two-day vote opens Friday and ends Saturday afternoon, with first-time postal voting available to citizens living abroad.
• Final surveys from Ipsos, STEM and NMS put ANO around 29–32 percent and SPOLU near 20–21 percent, pointing to a fragmented parliament.
• Smaller parties such as SPD, Stačilo! and the motorists’ party AUTO are polling at or above the threshold and could be pivotal in coalition talks.
• President Petr Pavel has signaled heightened scrutiny of any cabinet led by Babiš, who also faces a pending court decision in a reopened EU subsidy case.
• Analysts consider an ANO minority government tolerated by populist or extremist parties a plausible outcome, as researchers reported signs of Russian influence efforts online during the campaign.