Overview

• Pre-result polls show Andrej Babiš’s ANO near or above 30% with Petr Fiala’s Spolu around 20%, with official tallies expected Saturday evening.
• Babiš vows to scale back or halt military aid to Ukraine and to end the Czech ammunition procurement initiative, arguing resources should be redirected at home or shifted under NATO.
• Even if ANO tops the vote, it likely needs partners, with mainstream rivals ruling out cooperation and potential allies including the far-right SPD, the far-left Stacilo, or the smaller Motorists group.
• President Petr Pavel has signaled he could refuse ministers pushing anti‑EU or anti‑NATO agendas, creating an additional check on a sharp foreign‑policy turn.
• EU disinformation concerns prompted an emergency meeting with TikTok that led to bot removals, while Babiš still faces legal and conflict‑of‑interest questions, including a reopened Stork’s Nest case.