Overview

• Late-campaign surveys from Ipsos, STEM and NMS show ANO near 31% versus roughly 20–21% for SPOLU, with STAN, Pirates, SPD, Stačilo! and the Auto/Motoristé party also projected to clear the threshold.
• Andrej Babiš has campaigned on stopping Czech weapons deliveries to Ukraine, contrasting with outgoing Prime Minister Petr Fiala’s high-profile munitions initiative for Kyiv.
• Analysts say no bloc is assured a majority, leaving possibilities that range from a Babiš-led minority reliant on smaller parties to broader cross-party arrangements.
• President Petr Pavel has signaled he will safeguard the country’s anchoring in NATO and the EU and review Babiš’s business affairs during government formation, as a subsidy-fraud case heads for a decision after a Prague court overturned an earlier acquittal.
• Researchers at Online Risk Labs report hundreds of fake TikTok accounts pushing pro-Russian messages, while ANO’s ties to the Patriots for Europe group underscore EU concerns about Prague’s future alignment.