Overview

• Tulchin Research reports Andrew Cuomo leading Zohran Mamdani 52% to 41% in a hypothetical one-on-one matchup.
• Recent multi-candidate surveys still show Mamdani ahead by roughly 20–22 points over Cuomo in the race voters will actually see.
• Other head-to-head tests remain competitive and often favor Mamdani, including Emerson (47%–40%), Marist (49%–39%), and NYT/Siena (48%–44%).
• Eric Adams exited the race on September 28, and his name will remain on the ballot due to filing deadlines, while Curtis Sliwa says he will stay in and the active field includes Irene Estrada and Joseph Hernández.
• Polling cited in the coverage shows Mamdani viewed as stronger on affordability and housing, with a noted gender split in one survey where men back Mamdani and women lean toward Cuomo.