Overview

• More than 300,000 New Yorkers cast early ballots over eight days, nearly doubling the 2021 turnout and underscoring heightened voter engagement ahead of June 24.
• Cuomo maintains a slim advantage backed by establishment figures and well-funded super PACs while Mamdani’s grassroots surge is buoyed by progressive endorsements from figures like Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Bernie Sanders.
• No candidate has topped 50 percent of first-choice votes in polls, meaning elimination rounds and redistributed ballots will determine the winner and may delay an official result.
• Debate over the Gaza conflict has deepened divisions, with Cuomo emphasizing his track record on antisemitism and Mamdani defending his pro-Palestinian stance after facing threats and criticism.
• Both frontrunners plan to secure alternative party lines—Cuomo’s Fight and Deliver and Mamdani’s Working Families Party—setting the stage for a potentially crowded and competitive general election.