Overview
- Colorado State University hurricane researchers reduced their 2026 Atlantic-season forecast on Wednesday, June 10, 2026, citing new model confidence that overall activity will be below normal.
- The revised outlook calls for 11 named storms, five hurricanes and two major hurricanes, down from an April forecast of 13 named storms and six hurricanes.
- CSU says the change follows stronger odds that a moderate-to-strong Pacific warming event will increase upper-level wind shear, a process that tears apart developing storms and tends to reduce Atlantic cyclone counts.
- Forecasters note Atlantic sea-surface temperatures remain relatively warm and could partly offset suppression, and they lowered modeled landfall odds to about 14% for a Gulf major hurricane and 24% for the full U.S. coastline.
- Officials and local reporters urge continued preparedness because a single storm can still cause major damage, and both CSU and NOAA plan mid‑season outlook updates and new forecast tools ahead of peak season.