Overview

• The Swedish Academy is set to reveal the 2025 laureate on October 9, with Aira repeatedly cited on candidate lists.
• A public “vigilia aireana” in Buenos Aires’ Flores neighborhood is scheduled for the evening of October 8, organized by Daniel Mecca and La Conjura with collective readings from Aira’s books.
• Bookmakers present mixed boards: OLBG places Haruki Murakami and Mircea Cărtărescu at the top, Betsson lists Gerald Murnane first and includes Argentines César Aira (20.00) and Samanta Schweblin (22.00), and BetUS favors Can Xue.
• Argentine writers, critics and editors publicly argue that Aira merits the prize, highlighting his long-running, boundary-pushing body of work.
• A contingency is set for a press conference at the Museo del Barrio de Flores the morning after the announcement if Aira is named, while coverage notes the Nobel process is confidential and betting odds have proved unreliable, as in 2024.