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CryptoQuant Says Bitcoin Has Slipped Into a Demand-Driven Bear Market

U.S. spot ETFs turned net sellers in Q4, removing a key source of demand.

Overview

  • Bitcoin trades near $88,000, roughly 30% below its early-October peak around $126,000.
  • CryptoQuant says demand growth fell below its long-term trend in early October, with the bear phase effectively starting in mid-November.
  • U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs became net sellers in Q4, cutting holdings by about 24,000 BTC as accumulation by 100–1,000 BTC wallets slowed.
  • Derivatives and technical gauges turned defensive, with average funding near lows since late 2023 and price slipping below the 365-day moving average.
  • CryptoQuant outlines support near $70,000 and a potential realized-price low around $56,000 if buying fails to recover, while some institutions still publish bullish scenarios.