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CryptoQuant Adjusts Whale Narrative as Exchange Consolidations Skew On-Chain Signals

ETF outflows now outweigh a tentative return of long-term holder demand.

Overview

  • CryptoQuant’s Julio Moreno says exchange wallet consolidations have inflated charts that appeared to show renewed whale accumulation.
  • Excluding exchange addresses, balances in 1,000+ BTC wallets and the 100–1,000 BTC cohort are falling, indicating distribution rather than broad buying.
  • Analysts tie the decline in mid-sized address balances to continued spot Bitcoin ETF withdrawals, including reported outflows from BlackRock’s IBIT.
  • VanEck’s Matthew Sigel reports long-term holders have turned net positive over the past 30 days after their largest selling phase since 2019.
  • Bitcoin trades near $90,000 with low volume and tightened volatility, leaving short-term direction highly sensitive to ETF flow trends.