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CrowdStrike Extends ARR Ambition to $20 Billion by FY36 After Fal.Con Rally

Analysts weigh lofty valuation against an AI-first expansion plan.

Overview

  • Shares rose about 10% during the three-day Fal.Con as investors responded to AI demos and roadmap.
  • The company reiterated guidance for net new ARR growth above 40% in H2 FY26, which analysts attribute partly to easier comparisons.
  • Bernstein’s Peter Weed kept a Market Perform rating with a $343 price target following the event.
  • CrowdStrike reports use by 300 Fortune 500 and 543 Fortune 1,000 companies as it advances its agentic-AI security platform strategy.
  • Management estimates a $116 billion TAM today rising to $250 billion by 2029, while the stock trades near 27 times sales after a 38% year-to-date gain through Sept. 25.