Overview
- The Canadian Real Estate Association has lowered its 2025 sales outlook for the second time this year, now predicting a 3% drop to 469,503 transactions compared with 2024.
- Average national home prices are projected to decline 1.7% to $677,368 in 2025 after June’s selling price fell 1.3% year-over-year to $691,643.
- Seasonally adjusted June activity showed home sales up 3.5% from June 2024 and 2.8% from May, signaling a delayed rebound in demand.
- Senior economist Shaun Cathcart said the market’s recovery was only postponed by early trade-related uncertainty and should strengthen by fall.
- CREA expects a stronger upswing in 2026 with home sales climbing 6.3% to 499,081 units as pent-up demand intersects lower borrowing costs.