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Crane Narrowly Wins Arizona’s 2nd District Rematch

The Associated Press called the race on Monday, a result that shifts Arizona’s House delegation to a projected 5–4 Democratic majority next year.

Overview

  • The Associated Press called the contest for Republican incumbent Eli Crane on Monday after a volatile count that saw the lead flip as counties reported results.
  • Crane beat Democrat Jonathan Nez by about 1.2 percentage points, finishing roughly 49.7% to 48.5% according to the AP call.
  • Crane is a former Navy SEAL, a close ally of President Trump and a member of the House Freedom Caucus, and he has represented CD2 since 2023.
  • Nez, a former Navajo Nation president who does not live inside the district, campaigned on delivering federal resources to rural and tribal communities and narrowed the margin from his 2024 loss.
  • The tight outcome in CD2 was one of several unexpectedly close GOP defenses in Arizona that, combined with other results, will change the state’s U.S. House delegation balance to a projected Democratic majority next year.