Overview
- CPPA-G’s base-case estimate for calendar year 2027 puts the average power purchase price at Rs27.309 per kWh and the six scenarios produce a range of Rs25.883 to Rs29.255 per kWh.
- The report translates those per-unit figures into total sector bills from about Rs3.366 trillion to Rs3.805 trillion depending on assumptions about demand, fuel prices, the exchange rate, inflation and financing costs.
- Capacity charges are the single largest cost and are shown as especially sensitive to the US$/PKR exchange rate and local financing rates, with base-case capacity payments about Rs1.914 trillion.
- NEPRA will hold a public hearing on November 3 to examine the projection, and the regulator’s findings will feed into the formal rebasing that sets consumer tariffs on January 1, 2027.
- If NEPRA accepts higher reference costs, consumers could face higher tariffs unless the government offsets some costs; the CPPA-G report contrasts the projected 2027 figures with the ongoing 2026 national average PPP of Rs25.32 per unit to show potential impact.